NFL Week #7 Jets/Patriots OVER 47.5

NY Jets vs NE Patriots OVER 47.5 (Average line 43.5... highest line was 50.5, lowest was 37.5 *Brady was injured that year and did not play) The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against New England The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New England The total has gone OVER in 17 of the NY Jets last 22 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 16 of New England's last 23 games at home **The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Week #7 Chicago Bears

CHICAGO BEARS -6 to -7 Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago Detriot is 0-5 ATS last 5 versus a team ranked in the top 10 defensivly (2-8 ATS last 10) Detriot is 1-4 ATS last 5 during nationally televised evening games (3-7 last 10) Chicago Bears (w/ Cutler) are 7-3 ATS last 10 during nationally televised evening games

Week #7 Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers -1 to -2 Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati Cincinnati is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home Cincinnati is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh Cincinnati is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh Cincinnati is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh Cincinnati is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Week #7 Buffalo Bills

Buffalo bills -3 to -3.5 *Tennessee is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games *Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games *Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road *Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road *Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo *Tennessee is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Buffalo *Tennessee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo **OVERLOOKED STAT** Titans are 0-3 ATS this year against teams with a rushing attack - Teams that gain 100+ yds or more on average per game this year. *Titans have given up 9 sacks last 3 games *Bills are 8-2 ATS last 10 games as a favorite of -7 or less (8-2 last 10 at home) *Titans are 3-7 ATS last 10 games as an underdog of -7 or less (2-8 ATS last 10 on the road)

Plays for week #7... continuing the winning ways

San Francisco 49ers -7.5 to -8 *Have not lost consecutive games since 11/26/2010 *oOutscored Seattle 96-48 past 3 games between them *Lynch has gained only 62 on 23 rushes in two games at San Francisco *Gore has had two 200yd rushing games vs Seattle in San Francisco *Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco *Seattle is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road *49ers rank #1 in defense and #7 in offense... while holding the #1 spot rushing for #176.8yds per game while scoring ranks #11 with 25.3 points per game.

College Football Plays for this week

Miami-Florida +13.5 (vs Notre Dame) 2 Units *upset Special* 1 Unit +405 Money Line Maryland -6 (vs Wake Forest) 2 units Northwestern +2.5 (vs Penn State) 2 Units

Small plays for the NFL Week #5

Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh (-3) 1 Unit Green Bay vs Indianapolis (+7.5, ML +250) 1 unit each Houston vs NY Jets (pending, waiting for line to move more in my favor, taking the +points) 1 Unit

SD Chargers vs New Orleans Saints (-3)

For those that follow me, you know I dont have any "Big Plays" week after week. I only slightly wager more then my average of 2 Units when I am absolutely sure of a game, and even more if I am extremely confident. This might be my only 5 Unit game I will play this year, unless there is something else that sticks out so greatly. The Saints are my play, definately 100%, absolutely sure of myself on this one. Drew Bree's, simple as that. He is a leader, he wont let his team fail and they know how to rally around him. Every game this year, the Saints have rallied yet come up short. Everyone who knows sports knows they are A LOT better then their 0-4 Record. The have a strong passing and running game, a great defensive line... yet have a beligered defense. This week they are hosting the SD Chargers, who have yet to have a quality win against a playoff team in their last 16 games (yes SIXTEEN games). On that note, am I saying that the Saints are a playoiff team this year?... definately not, but they have the talent to make a run for it, and I am sure no one would be surprised to see them tear off 8 straight wins at any time this season. With the passing and running attack of the Saints against a Chargers defense, and vice-versa, Ill lay the little 3 points, as the Saints offense has a better leader who will rally around him, and more talent on the offensive side of the ball. Am I crazy laying -3 points on a team thats 0-4 this year? We will see when the final whistle blows. Drew Brees will NOT let his team give up.... SAINTS -3 *5 Units

Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs Washington

Yes, I am riding the Falcons again. The Falcons have one of the best passing games in the NFL this season... The Redskins have one of the worst passing defenses. Washington is giving up an average of 326 yards per game in the air. Atlanta's defense will cause all sorts of problems and looks for RGIII, as he has yet to face a defense like this in college or the NFL. Look for him to be mistake prone the whole first half, until adjustments are made at halftime. Speaking of after halftime... Washingotn is giving up an average of 11.50 points in the 4th quarter so far this season. So if Atlanta is behind or the game is close, Washingtons defense has been shown to crumble at the end of the game. This is a play, and Im giving up only a field goal against a Rookie QB with a horrible pass defense? Im going to "Air it out" and give up the measley -3 points. Atlanta -3 *3 Units

Arizona Cardinals (PICK) vs St. Louis Rams

The Cardinals have been a monster the since the middle of last year. Losing only 2 games straight up, while covering close to 75% ATS. Here they are playing a road game, and storming into St. Louis. This is a classic game, as most of the smart money last week was on the Rams to beat Seattle, which they did. Also last week, there was money (including mine) was on Arizona, and they werent focused at home, but did end up winning SU. Now this is where perception and good handicapping comes into play on this matchup. Most of the bettors are going to look at Arizona and say "They looked horrible and almost lost last week, they arent that good, and the Rams were underdogs and beat Seattle" and they will slide their money on St. Louis at home. But, you have to look deeper then that. Arizona is 10-1 SU last 11 vs St. Louis, while going 5-0 SU when playing IN St. Louis. Then when you look at the ATS, Arizona is 8-2 vs St. Louis. Now on the defensive side of the ball, Arizona and their coach have built a formidable defensive line, LB's and secondary. This will spell quite a bit of trouble, with S. Jackson nursing an injury and is listed as probable, and Bradford isnt the mobile of a QB to escape the fast pressure of the Cardinals. This game will be won, yet again, by the Cardinals Defense, with Kolb managing and draining the clock of the offense. Im tkaing the team who has proven it can win the close games in the end... and Im not giving up points? Definately a play!! Arizona -Pick 2 Units