Thursday, October 4, 2012

Arizona Cardinals (PICK) vs St. Louis Rams

The Cardinals have been a monster the since the middle of last year. Losing only 2 games straight up, while covering close to 75% ATS. Here they are playing a road game, and storming into St. Louis. This is a classic game, as most of the smart money last week was on the Rams to beat Seattle, which they did. Also last week, there was money (including mine) was on Arizona, and they werent focused at home, but did end up winning SU. Now this is where perception and good handicapping comes into play on this matchup. Most of the bettors are going to look at Arizona and say "They looked horrible and almost lost last week, they arent that good, and the Rams were underdogs and beat Seattle" and they will slide their money on St. Louis at home. But, you have to look deeper then that. Arizona is 10-1 SU last 11 vs St. Louis, while going 5-0 SU when playing IN St. Louis. Then when you look at the ATS, Arizona is 8-2 vs St. Louis. Now on the defensive side of the ball, Arizona and their coach have built a formidable defensive line, LB's and secondary. This will spell quite a bit of trouble, with S. Jackson nursing an injury and is listed as probable, and Bradford isnt the mobile of a QB to escape the fast pressure of the Cardinals. This game will be won, yet again, by the Cardinals Defense, with Kolb managing and draining the clock of the offense. Im tkaing the team who has proven it can win the close games in the end... and Im not giving up points? Definately a play!! Arizona -Pick 2 Units

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