Been working on this 2 weeks before the season started, and this does NOT include any pre-season game om la. Going to see how this does. Its running on all the stats from last season+Playoffs and now the first week of the season.... so some teams/players have a greater number sampling then others.
It went 12-4 ATS last week, so I dont know if it was just a fluke or this can actually hold some water. I hope its actually something we can use, because it takes little over an hour per game to get a final number. Im working on the weekends NFL games, and will update as I get them done.
So for now all I have is tonights game. Which will be Green Bay vs Chicago #'s.
Green Bay Packers 37.55 pts (without defense/offensive turnovers/takaways pts from them)
Chicago Bears 20.3333 pts (without defense/offensive turnovers/takaways pts from them)
Variance Green Bay -8.2222 pts
Turnover/Takaway Points Variance points taken into consideration this year
Green Bay Packers 31.0
Chicago Bears 23.2
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On a side note, here is how it did on last weeks games ATS.
Dallas Cowboys 24.4
NY Giants 22.6
Atlanata Falcons 34.5
Kansas City Chiefs 29.2
Philadelphia Eagles 21.66
Cleveland Browns 12.9
Washington Redskins 25.3
N.O. Saints 33.2
N.E. Patriots 37.9
Tenn Titans 19.0
Miami Dolphins 15.4
Houston Texans 30.7
Jax Jaguars 17.5
Minn Vikings 22.3 (loss)
St. Louis Rams 19.9
Detriot Lions 29.0 (loss)
Buffalo Bills 13.6
NY Jets 23.5
Indianapolis Colts 14.2
Chicago Bears 25.6
San Francisco 49ers 28.8
Green Bay Packers 29.1
Carolina Panthers 23.9 (loss)
TB Bucs 15.1
Seattle Seahawks 19.5
Arizona Cardinals 17.5
Pitt Steelers 22.9
Denver Broncos 27.3
Cinn Bengals 20.4
Balt Ravens 32.8
SD Chargers 18.6
Oak Raiders 25.4 (Loss)
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