Been working on this 2 weeks before the season started, and this does NOT include any pre-season game om la. Going to see how this does. Its running on all the stats from last season+Playoffs and now the first week of the season.... so some teams/players have a greater number sampling then others.
It went 12-4 ATS last week, so I dont know if it was just a fluke or this can actually hold some water. I hope its actually something we can use, because it takes little over an hour per game to get a final number. Im working on the weekends NFL games, and will update as I get them done.
So for now all I have is tonights game. Which will be Green Bay vs Chicago #'s.
Green Bay Packers 37.55 pts (without defense/offensive turnovers/takaways pts from them)
Chicago Bears 20.3333 pts (without defense/offensive turnovers/takaways pts from them)
Variance Green Bay -8.2222 pts
Turnover/Takaway Points Variance points taken into consideration this year
Green Bay Packers 31.0
Chicago Bears 23.2
_________________________________________
On a side note, here is how it did on last weeks games ATS.
Dallas Cowboys 24.4
NY Giants 22.6
Atlanata Falcons 34.5
Kansas City Chiefs 29.2
Philadelphia Eagles 21.66
Cleveland Browns 12.9
Washington Redskins 25.3
N.O. Saints 33.2
N.E. Patriots 37.9
Tenn Titans 19.0
Miami Dolphins 15.4
Houston Texans 30.7
Jax Jaguars 17.5
Minn Vikings 22.3 (loss)
St. Louis Rams 19.9
Detriot Lions 29.0 (loss)
Buffalo Bills 13.6
NY Jets 23.5
Indianapolis Colts 14.2
Chicago Bears 25.6
San Francisco 49ers 28.8
Green Bay Packers 29.1
Carolina Panthers 23.9 (loss)
TB Bucs 15.1
Seattle Seahawks 19.5
Arizona Cardinals 17.5
Pitt Steelers 22.9
Denver Broncos 27.3
Cinn Bengals 20.4
Balt Ravens 32.8
SD Chargers 18.6
Oak Raiders 25.4 (Loss)
Showing posts with label Free Picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Free Picks. Show all posts
Thursday, September 13, 2012
Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Week #1 of College and NFL in the books... Season is looking good!!
1st week is in the books. Im glad to say I had a winning week at the sportsbooks so far during this football season going a meager 10-7 for +3.20 units.
Im already looking ahead to this weeks plays in college and the NFL. But there are still some uncertains we have roaming around, and some that totally surprised me after this week.
1. Atlanta Falcons and the Dallas Cowboys showed up and did what I expected them to do.
2. The Raiders.... I had high hopes for them this season with Palmer and Russell both healthy. Yet I have to rethink this after the whole team made such stupid mistakes the whole game. Palmer and Russell cant win the games by themselves.
3. Steelers showing signs of age rapidly, and refuse to leave the old defensive system they have used for over a decade. I think its time to shake things up on defense, show a new look, everyone by now knows how they defend.
4. Carolina and their running game (or lack of one).
Those are my top points going forward into week #2. Andrew Luck almost made the list, but like my previous post, it is still to early to tell... Im going to give him a few more shots to show he has what it takes to make it at the next level. I think halfway through the NEXT 2013 season is fair.
So on that note, Im going to be busy getting ready for this weeks games. If you have any questions at all, or would like ot know what I think of a certain game, you can Twitter me or just send me a message. Lets have another profitable week and continue it into the end of the season, and into the basketball season!
Im already looking ahead to this weeks plays in college and the NFL. But there are still some uncertains we have roaming around, and some that totally surprised me after this week.
1. Atlanta Falcons and the Dallas Cowboys showed up and did what I expected them to do.
2. The Raiders.... I had high hopes for them this season with Palmer and Russell both healthy. Yet I have to rethink this after the whole team made such stupid mistakes the whole game. Palmer and Russell cant win the games by themselves.
3. Steelers showing signs of age rapidly, and refuse to leave the old defensive system they have used for over a decade. I think its time to shake things up on defense, show a new look, everyone by now knows how they defend.
4. Carolina and their running game (or lack of one).
Those are my top points going forward into week #2. Andrew Luck almost made the list, but like my previous post, it is still to early to tell... Im going to give him a few more shots to show he has what it takes to make it at the next level. I think halfway through the NEXT 2013 season is fair.
So on that note, Im going to be busy getting ready for this weeks games. If you have any questions at all, or would like ot know what I think of a certain game, you can Twitter me or just send me a message. Lets have another profitable week and continue it into the end of the season, and into the basketball season!
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