SD Chargers vs New Orleans Saints (-3)

For those that follow me, you know I dont have any "Big Plays" week after week. I only slightly wager more then my average of 2 Units when I am absolutely sure of a game, and even more if I am extremely confident. This might be my only 5 Unit game I will play this year, unless there is something else that sticks out so greatly. The Saints are my play, definately 100%, absolutely sure of myself on this one. Drew Bree's, simple as that. He is a leader, he wont let his team fail and they know how to rally around him. Every game this year, the Saints have rallied yet come up short. Everyone who knows sports knows they are A LOT better then their 0-4 Record. The have a strong passing and running game, a great defensive line... yet have a beligered defense. This week they are hosting the SD Chargers, who have yet to have a quality win against a playoff team in their last 16 games (yes SIXTEEN games). On that note, am I saying that the Saints are a playoiff team this year?... definately not, but they have the talent to make a run for it, and I am sure no one would be surprised to see them tear off 8 straight wins at any time this season. With the passing and running attack of the Saints against a Chargers defense, and vice-versa, Ill lay the little 3 points, as the Saints offense has a better leader who will rally around him, and more talent on the offensive side of the ball. Am I crazy laying -3 points on a team thats 0-4 this year? We will see when the final whistle blows. Drew Brees will NOT let his team give up.... SAINTS -3 *5 Units

Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs Washington

Yes, I am riding the Falcons again. The Falcons have one of the best passing games in the NFL this season... The Redskins have one of the worst passing defenses. Washington is giving up an average of 326 yards per game in the air. Atlanta's defense will cause all sorts of problems and looks for RGIII, as he has yet to face a defense like this in college or the NFL. Look for him to be mistake prone the whole first half, until adjustments are made at halftime. Speaking of after halftime... Washingotn is giving up an average of 11.50 points in the 4th quarter so far this season. So if Atlanta is behind or the game is close, Washingtons defense has been shown to crumble at the end of the game. This is a play, and Im giving up only a field goal against a Rookie QB with a horrible pass defense? Im going to "Air it out" and give up the measley -3 points. Atlanta -3 *3 Units

Arizona Cardinals (PICK) vs St. Louis Rams

The Cardinals have been a monster the since the middle of last year. Losing only 2 games straight up, while covering close to 75% ATS. Here they are playing a road game, and storming into St. Louis. This is a classic game, as most of the smart money last week was on the Rams to beat Seattle, which they did. Also last week, there was money (including mine) was on Arizona, and they werent focused at home, but did end up winning SU. Now this is where perception and good handicapping comes into play on this matchup. Most of the bettors are going to look at Arizona and say "They looked horrible and almost lost last week, they arent that good, and the Rams were underdogs and beat Seattle" and they will slide their money on St. Louis at home. But, you have to look deeper then that. Arizona is 10-1 SU last 11 vs St. Louis, while going 5-0 SU when playing IN St. Louis. Then when you look at the ATS, Arizona is 8-2 vs St. Louis. Now on the defensive side of the ball, Arizona and their coach have built a formidable defensive line, LB's and secondary. This will spell quite a bit of trouble, with S. Jackson nursing an injury and is listed as probable, and Bradford isnt the mobile of a QB to escape the fast pressure of the Cardinals. This game will be won, yet again, by the Cardinals Defense, with Kolb managing and draining the clock of the offense. Im tkaing the team who has proven it can win the close games in the end... and Im not giving up points? Definately a play!! Arizona -Pick 2 Units

Chicago Bears (+4) vs Dallas Cowboys

Another defensive spotlight game. This one is simple. the Cowboys offense, even though they are 2-1 have struggled. Now they are playing a defense that can stop both the run and pass. And with their offensive line offering no protection, Romo plays at his worst. The Cowboys are also killing themselves with penalties and turnovers this year. This will be a close game, as both teams are going after the QB's. It will be a close game, quite a few turnovers (prop bet of turnovers OVER 4 would be a nice play) This game comes down to the wire, I see a field goal winning it for either team. Thats why I am taking the +4... had the Cowboys been +4 I would be taking them. I have this line at PICK. 2 Units Chicago +4 1 Unit Money Line +180

Seattle vs St. Louis (+2.5 and ML +125)

Seattle comes to town after losing to Green Bay (yes, they lost) but was handed a win. Seattles offense struggled to move the ball at all, and only got lucky a few plays. With no one to lead that offense, they storm into St. Louis. The Rams, having just come home from Chicago, managing a measley 6 points, are poised to make an offensive spurt. Seattle has a great defensive front, but will have to contend with a 2 dimensional offense.... unlike last weeks loss to Green Bay, where they were able to constantly rush Rogers, as the Packers arent a threat to run. Im playing the better team here, and at home. I dont see how a bad team on the road, coming off of a loss, with a horrid offense is favored in this one. Ill lay my money with QB Bradford and RB Jackson, as their offensive line is looking healthier. The better offense wins this one in a low scoring affair. 2 Units St Louis +2.5 1 Unit Money Line +125

NFL needs to end the lockout ASAP -Packers were robbed

Looking at the photo, it makes you wonder what the referee was thinking when he made the touchdown call. You can see the ref's arm going up to make the signal, but look at where the ball is while he is doing it. Green Bay defender Jennings, clearly has both hands on the ball and is clutching it to his chest. While Seattle's WR Tate, has his forearm around Jennings neck and chest. The other referee had already signaled to "Stop the clock" which meant it was going to be a touchback, and Green Bays ball... game over. Then, out of nowhere, a hero runs in out of nowhere, and signals a touchdown. As you can see, by looking at the pic, Jennings had 100% possession of the ball. So, I ask again... "What was that referee thinking?"

Now, you will have the biased Seattle die-hard fans saying that the referee was using the "Simultainious Catch" rule. Which basically says, that if two opposing players simultainiously catch the ball at the exact same time, the tie goes to the offensive player. Well, as this photo shows, Gren Bay's Jennings again has 100% possession of the ball, has both hands on it, and is bringing it down to his chest. You can see Seattle's WR Tate elbow near Jennings stomach area. So unless Tate has an extraordinarily long forarm, thats made of rubber, there is no way he has any possession of the ball. It would just defy all the laws of physics and the build of the human body for Tate to be remotely close to possessing the ball at the same time as Jennings. The NFL/Referee lockout has to stop. There are so many fans, players and organizations that are fed up... and ITS ONLY WEEK #3!!! I know that I am not the only one who agrees that the calls are getting worse as the season goes on, so it makes you wonder how bad the officiating is going to be next week. It needs to stop, and it needs to stop NOW!

Week #3 Football Plays - Another winning week (hopefully)

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals +4

The Eagles on the road, Playing Arizona at home.... Michael Vick is not playing well at all, forcing the ball and making bad decisions. Now with an offensive line that is decimated, this will be trouble. Vick has NEVER thrown or ran for a touchdown against Arizona.... yet he has turned the ball over 6 times ot them in 3 games. He has only passed for an average of 132 yds a game, and only completing 51% of his passes, giving him a 44.5 QBR. Then you put him up against Arizonas huge, healthy front line that is exactly the type that gives him and McCoy trouble, and there goes the Eagles offense. Arizonas running game is stepping up slowly, and the Eagles defense is giving up almost 5yds per run. This will open up the play action and wide-outs for Arizona. Arizonas defense wins this game for them. causing turnovers and giving the Cardinals the short field for most of the game. Im taking the LIVE DOG in this one, as it should have been a small favorite.

Arizona +4 for 2 units = $220 to win $200
Arizona ML +185 for 1 unit = $100 to win $185


Atlanta Falcons +3 vs San Diego Chargers

Seriously?? Chargers are favored by -3 ?? Let me ask you this question... who have the Chargers played this year to make them a favorite? The answer = Titans and Raiders.... the two WORST offenses in the NFL at this point. ,, who also happen to both be in the top 5 WORST Defenses in the NFL. then you have the Falcons who have played against Manning and the Broncos, both with really good offenses and defenses this year, and they stepped up. Im looking at this game as the Falcons keep the Chargers defense backpeddling, the Falcons offense is way too much. They can run the ball or pass the ball. Rivers will be confused by Nolans defensive scheme, just like Peyton Manning was... and I consider Manning to be the smartest QB in the NFL. Im taking the Road Dog here, the Falcons have just too much on both sides of the ball against a team that hasnt played anyone yet.

Atlanta Falcons +3 for 2 units $220 to win $200
Atlanata falcons ML for 1 unit $100 to win $150


Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts -3

Jacksonville is horrible. this is the game where Luck really steps up at home. Playing against one of the worst defenses this year, and a lackluster offense led by MJD... If you are watching MJD play, he is taking it careful, and I mean very careful. He doesnt want to get hurt, he is looking for the big contract or to get traded. If he gets hurt, he loses the edge at the big $$$ he wants. Jaguars passing game is at best, mediocre. Indianapolis, at home, with the players and crowd supporting Luck and the Colts. This will be the game of the Colts season, Luck has his best game of the year and the Colts defense get a shut out or holds them to 10 or less.

Indianapolis Colts -3 for 2 units $220 to win $200


Green Bay Packers -3 vs Seattle Seahawks

I capped this game on Monday. My numbers have the Packers favored by -7.5. Then I find out Tuesday I cna get them at -3?? Seriously!!?? All day long!!! I know its hard to bet against the Seahawks at home, but in this spot vs the Packers, its an easy wager. First off, the Seahawks if they want ot win have to win in a shootout. but if you look at how Green Bays defense has stepped up this year (they said they would in the preseason), I dont see the Seahawks keeping up. then you have the offense of Rogers going up and down the field.... its just too much for the Seahawks defense. -3?? Definately ALL OVER IT! Worst part of this play, is that its the SQUAREST play on the board.

Green Bay Packers -3 for 3 units $330 to win $300
Green Bay Packers ALT Spread -7.5 +290 $100 to win $290


NY Giants -1.5 vs Carolina Pamnthers

Just because I need to have a little action on Thursdays game, Im taking the Giants -1.5 on the road. Until the Panthers can find their run game, Im betting the Giants defense shows up. Close game either way, as my personal line has the Giants -3. Im looking for Eli to win this one for the team and the defense to make a couple big stops.

NY Giants -1.5 for 1/2 unit $55 to win $50