Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals +4
The Eagles on the road, Playing Arizona at home.... Michael Vick is not playing well at all, forcing the ball and making bad decisions. Now with an offensive line that is decimated, this will be trouble. Vick has NEVER thrown or ran for a touchdown against Arizona.... yet he has turned the ball over 6 times ot them in 3 games. He has only passed for an average of 132 yds a game, and only completing 51% of his passes, giving him a 44.5 QBR. Then you put him up against Arizonas huge, healthy front line that is exactly the type that gives him and McCoy trouble, and there goes the Eagles offense. Arizonas running game is stepping up slowly, and the Eagles defense is giving up almost 5yds per run. This will open up the play action and wide-outs for Arizona. Arizonas defense wins this game for them. causing turnovers and giving the Cardinals the short field for most of the game. Im taking the LIVE DOG in this one, as it should have been a small favorite.
Arizona +4 for 2 units = $220 to win $200
Arizona ML +185 for 1 unit = $100 to win $185
Atlanta Falcons +3 vs San Diego Chargers
Seriously?? Chargers are favored by -3 ?? Let me ask you this question... who have the Chargers played this year to make them a favorite? The answer = Titans and Raiders.... the two WORST offenses in the NFL at this point. ,, who also happen to both be in the top 5 WORST Defenses in the NFL. then you have the Falcons who have played against Manning and the Broncos, both with really good offenses and defenses this year, and they stepped up. Im looking at this game as the Falcons keep the Chargers defense backpeddling, the Falcons offense is way too much. They can run the ball or pass the ball. Rivers will be confused by Nolans defensive scheme, just like Peyton Manning was... and I consider Manning to be the smartest QB in the NFL. Im taking the Road Dog here, the Falcons have just too much on both sides of the ball against a team that hasnt played anyone yet.
Atlanta Falcons +3 for 2 units $220 to win $200
Atlanata falcons ML for 1 unit $100 to win $150
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts -3
Jacksonville is horrible. this is the game where Luck really steps up at home. Playing against one of the worst defenses this year, and a lackluster offense led by MJD... If you are watching MJD play, he is taking it careful, and I mean very careful. He doesnt want to get hurt, he is looking for the big contract or to get traded. If he gets hurt, he loses the edge at the big $$$ he wants. Jaguars passing game is at best, mediocre. Indianapolis, at home, with the players and crowd supporting Luck and the Colts. This will be the game of the Colts season, Luck has his best game of the year and the Colts defense get a shut out or holds them to 10 or less.
Indianapolis Colts -3 for 2 units $220 to win $200
Green Bay Packers -3 vs Seattle Seahawks
I capped this game on Monday. My numbers have the Packers favored by -7.5. Then I find out Tuesday I cna get them at -3?? Seriously!!?? All day long!!! I know its hard to bet against the Seahawks at home, but in this spot vs the Packers, its an easy wager. First off, the Seahawks if they want ot win have to win in a shootout. but if you look at how Green Bays defense has stepped up this year (they said they would in the preseason), I dont see the Seahawks keeping up. then you have the offense of Rogers going up and down the field.... its just too much for the Seahawks defense. -3?? Definately ALL OVER IT! Worst part of this play, is that its the SQUAREST play on the board.
Green Bay Packers -3 for 3 units $330 to win $300
Green Bay Packers ALT Spread -7.5 +290 $100 to win $290
NY Giants -1.5 vs Carolina Pamnthers
Just because I need to have a little action on Thursdays game, Im taking the Giants -1.5 on the road. Until the Panthers can find their run game, Im betting the Giants defense shows up. Close game either way, as my personal line has the Giants -3. Im looking for Eli to win this one for the team and the defense to make a couple big stops.
NY Giants -1.5 for 1/2 unit $55 to win $50
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